Why Overpopulation Matters - Part 1 (Fact research)
Drifting in to the concepts of overpopulation...
What really defines the concept of overpopulation?
A continuous accelerated growth of population
No matter how technologically advanced a civilisation is, there will always be physical limits
These so called "non renewed resources" are the ones in debt to the planet, either the planet, the sun or us failed to produce them more than we consumed them
Is gasoline renewable? They taught you in school that is was a Petroleum derivative. Therefore it's not a renewable. Is it really?
OMG someone has saved humanity!
Now we can artificially synthesize Gasoline (C8H18) by capturing CO2 from atmophere, splitting water to Hydrogen, mix them together to make Methanol (CH4O) and use some shady refination process to make it Gasoline (C8H18)
WOW, what a miracle of chemistry!
Sadly, this isn't actually very efficient and environmentally friendly for today's standards...
You better keep in mind to use a lot of solar power, and some huge turbine to capture as much air as possible, and then you might have a chance to grab some cheap gasoline, some old muscle cars (by future standards) and burn some rubber like these Medicaid reliant people used to do back in the old days
Mars:
Slow Down!
You better stop being so many
If put your feet on me you'll 'naw what happens
Lots of "Calvins" biting your asses (Life 2017 reference)
Water, oxygen, flesh n' assets
Jokes aside...
It's more of a correlation between time and physical resources than anything else in a significant short period of time
Where 1 represents the absolute equilibrium, below 1 you are in debt. This meaning that you'll probably want to stay as close to 1.
So what does this 1 represent? We've been pretty close to this 1 just until the industrial revolution.
So how we keep closer to this representational magic number?
This meaning that the Blue line, should never overcome the Green line;
If you want to keep the same modern standards of living and no major turmoils in a fair decent long run
So the faster quick fix you can deploy that has the major short term impact, is to decrease human population
The real question is, how can you stop people from "Under-developed" countries to lower their birth rates to something like 1-1.5 kids per couple?
You show this "article" to India's and Bangladesh's president
Not really... You thought that it would be that easy?
They won't care much simply because you are a nobody
They'll be like,
- Who's this wierdo annoying me this with webpage while I'm in the middle of this speech in front of my beloved overcrowded meeting of citizens?
- Foolish and ignorant that's how I like to keep them. Exporting them and plaguing the world.
A lesson of history...
The one child policy, a part of the family planning policy, was a population planning policy of China. It was introduced in 1979 and began to be formally phased out in 2015. The policy allowed many exceptions and ethnic minorities were exempt. For example in 2007, 36% of China's population was subject to a strict one-child restriction, with an additional 53% being allowed to have a second child if the first child was a girl. Provincial governments imposed fines for violations, and the local and national governments created commissions to raise awareness and carry out registration and inspection work.
According to the Chinese government, 400 million births were prevented. This claim has been called "false" by scholars, because "three-quarters of the decline in fertility since 1970 occurred before the launching of the one-child policy; and most of the further decline in fertility since 1980 can be attributed to economic development." Thailand and Iran, along with the Indian states of Kerala and Tamil Nadu, have had similar declines of fertility without a one-child policy. Although 76% of Chinese people supported the policy in a 2008 survey, it was controversial outside of China.
On October 29, 2015, it was reported that the existing law would be changed to a two-child policy, citing a statement from the Communist Party of China. The new law became effective on January 1, 2016, following its passage in the standing committee of the National People's Congress on December 27, 2015.
Source: Wikipedia
Intentional measures, but still very far from being enough...
Can you see the values on the graphs end?
Birth rate: ~12.5 per 1000
Death rate: ~7.5 per 1000
At the moment you might have 1.3 billion Chinese, so lets calculate in long term how much the population will grown with this differential
12.5 - 7.5 = 5 newborns per 1000
(1300000000 people / 1000) * 5 = 6.500.000
A ~6.5 million increase per year this differential stabilises
6.5 * 50 = 325 million
325 million new people after 50 years
This is no good, birth rate and death rates should be almost equal...
Now imagine India, they have no birth rate policies
Death rate being lower than birth rate it's even an harder premise
Why governments don't care and when will they care?
This is your lifetime span
You serviceable span, the period in which to have the most autonomy, it's more or less from your early 20's until you 60's, and after that you're just in a process of capability decreasement among all sorts of other health issues, and if you didn't had any major health issues consider yourself lucky
You have an expected 40 year time span to be in your own autonomy
You'll never have enough living time to make yourself bother about this
Why would you care?
If the Sun just exploded and died right now, there would be nobody to bother and lament such "tragedy".
If people lived 300 years and your adulthood last let's say 200 years, you'd have all this time to be fertile, this would even exacerbate the problem for the less instructed.
But if people lived 300 years, there would be smart people that would really start bothering about this issues and this would be the workaround.
"I don't want to live my last 150 years in a complete melt downed world!"
Thoughts like these would pop out
The real question is, do you really care about the future?
About the people that will come after you?
Nevertheless, you won't have a chance to witness and experience the marvels they'll eventually create
Some people care about the world, some will care about their families and descendents, and some don't care about much of anything.
You're living in this information overload era, distracted with so many things, so many other things to do, why would you really care?
In fact you weren't taught, to really think about the future in a long term way while you were a child.
The problem is, you can really solve overpopulation with a major World War, even if you wipe humanity and suddenly you had only 1 Billion people on earth, you didn't actually improve anything.
Technologically you wouldn't really improve much, if you have Nuclear Bombs, you aren't really bothering about that, since you could blow earth a couple times over with all that existing arsenal, in the end you'd only earn an improved time/resource relationship but the newest world order would take too much time to reestablish the overall conditions, it would be really hard to profit with this situation even after a significant long term period.
This is our "ying-yang" edge tip
Politicians will truly start caring about this issues when the consequences start hitting right in their faces and comforts
Maybe in 40, 50, 100 years, nobody knows, and the resource "against the clock" never stops, the later the harder, because current existing resources mean leverage and time for future developments
Do you really want to make you future generations wait endlessly until earths nature has a chance to renew all these precious and rare resources or even them trying to do so for miserable thousands of years?
This is all a matter of widespreaded education and awareness, basically effective ways of reaching consciousnesses
Welcome to PrologueWorld :)
What really defines the concept of overpopulation?
A continuous accelerated growth of population
No matter how technologically advanced a civilisation is, there will always be physical limits
These so called "non renewed resources" are the ones in debt to the planet, either the planet, the sun or us failed to produce them more than we consumed them
Is gasoline renewable? They taught you in school that is was a Petroleum derivative. Therefore it's not a renewable. Is it really?
OMG someone has saved humanity!
Now we can artificially synthesize Gasoline (C8H18) by capturing CO2 from atmophere, splitting water to Hydrogen, mix them together to make Methanol (CH4O) and use some shady refination process to make it Gasoline (C8H18)
WOW, what a miracle of chemistry!
Sadly, this isn't actually very efficient and environmentally friendly for today's standards...
You better keep in mind to use a lot of solar power, and some huge turbine to capture as much air as possible, and then you might have a chance to grab some cheap gasoline, some old muscle cars (by future standards) and burn some rubber like these Medicaid reliant people used to do back in the old days
Mars:
Slow Down!
You better stop being so many
If put your feet on me you'll 'naw what happens
Lots of "Calvins" biting your asses (Life 2017 reference)
Water, oxygen, flesh n' assets
Jokes aside...
It's more of a correlation between time and physical resources than anything else in a significant short period of time
Where 1 represents the absolute equilibrium, below 1 you are in debt. This meaning that you'll probably want to stay as close to 1.
So what does this 1 represent? We've been pretty close to this 1 just until the industrial revolution.
So how we keep closer to this representational magic number?
This meaning that the Blue line, should never overcome the Green line;
If you want to keep the same modern standards of living and no major turmoils in a fair decent long run
So the faster quick fix you can deploy that has the major short term impact, is to decrease human population
The real question is, how can you stop people from "Under-developed" countries to lower their birth rates to something like 1-1.5 kids per couple?
You show this "article" to India's and Bangladesh's president
Not really... You thought that it would be that easy?
They won't care much simply because you are a nobody
They'll be like,
- Who's this wierdo annoying me this with webpage while I'm in the middle of this speech in front of my beloved overcrowded meeting of citizens?
- Foolish and ignorant that's how I like to keep them. Exporting them and plaguing the world.
A lesson of history...
The one child policy, a part of the family planning policy, was a population planning policy of China. It was introduced in 1979 and began to be formally phased out in 2015. The policy allowed many exceptions and ethnic minorities were exempt. For example in 2007, 36% of China's population was subject to a strict one-child restriction, with an additional 53% being allowed to have a second child if the first child was a girl. Provincial governments imposed fines for violations, and the local and national governments created commissions to raise awareness and carry out registration and inspection work.
According to the Chinese government, 400 million births were prevented. This claim has been called "false" by scholars, because "three-quarters of the decline in fertility since 1970 occurred before the launching of the one-child policy; and most of the further decline in fertility since 1980 can be attributed to economic development." Thailand and Iran, along with the Indian states of Kerala and Tamil Nadu, have had similar declines of fertility without a one-child policy. Although 76% of Chinese people supported the policy in a 2008 survey, it was controversial outside of China.
On October 29, 2015, it was reported that the existing law would be changed to a two-child policy, citing a statement from the Communist Party of China. The new law became effective on January 1, 2016, following its passage in the standing committee of the National People's Congress on December 27, 2015.
Source: Wikipedia
Intentional measures, but still very far from being enough...
Can you see the values on the graphs end?
Birth rate: ~12.5 per 1000
Death rate: ~7.5 per 1000
At the moment you might have 1.3 billion Chinese, so lets calculate in long term how much the population will grown with this differential
12.5 - 7.5 = 5 newborns per 1000
(1300000000 people / 1000) * 5 = 6.500.000
A ~6.5 million increase per year this differential stabilises
6.5 * 50 = 325 million
325 million new people after 50 years
This is no good, birth rate and death rates should be almost equal...
Now imagine India, they have no birth rate policies
Death rate being lower than birth rate it's even an harder premise
Why governments don't care and when will they care?
This is your lifetime span
You serviceable span, the period in which to have the most autonomy, it's more or less from your early 20's until you 60's, and after that you're just in a process of capability decreasement among all sorts of other health issues, and if you didn't had any major health issues consider yourself lucky
You have an expected 40 year time span to be in your own autonomy
You'll never have enough living time to make yourself bother about this
Why would you care?
If the Sun just exploded and died right now, there would be nobody to bother and lament such "tragedy".
If people lived 300 years and your adulthood last let's say 200 years, you'd have all this time to be fertile, this would even exacerbate the problem for the less instructed.
But if people lived 300 years, there would be smart people that would really start bothering about this issues and this would be the workaround.
"I don't want to live my last 150 years in a complete melt downed world!"
Thoughts like these would pop out
The real question is, do you really care about the future?
About the people that will come after you?
Nevertheless, you won't have a chance to witness and experience the marvels they'll eventually create
Some people care about the world, some will care about their families and descendents, and some don't care about much of anything.
You're living in this information overload era, distracted with so many things, so many other things to do, why would you really care?
In fact you weren't taught, to really think about the future in a long term way while you were a child.
The problem is, you can really solve overpopulation with a major World War, even if you wipe humanity and suddenly you had only 1 Billion people on earth, you didn't actually improve anything.
Technologically you wouldn't really improve much, if you have Nuclear Bombs, you aren't really bothering about that, since you could blow earth a couple times over with all that existing arsenal, in the end you'd only earn an improved time/resource relationship but the newest world order would take too much time to reestablish the overall conditions, it would be really hard to profit with this situation even after a significant long term period.
This is our "ying-yang" edge tip
Politicians will truly start caring about this issues when the consequences start hitting right in their faces and comforts
Maybe in 40, 50, 100 years, nobody knows, and the resource "against the clock" never stops, the later the harder, because current existing resources mean leverage and time for future developments
Do you really want to make you future generations wait endlessly until earths nature has a chance to renew all these precious and rare resources or even them trying to do so for miserable thousands of years?
This is all a matter of widespreaded education and awareness, basically effective ways of reaching consciousnesses
Welcome to PrologueWorld :)
Comments
Post a Comment